How Pálpito Works

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcome of real-world events. Here's how it works in three simple steps.

1. Pick a Market

Browse markets on politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Each market asks a simple yes/no question — for example, "Will Bitcoin exceed $100K by December 2026?"

2. Buy Shares

Buy "Yes" or "No" shares based on what you think will happen. Prices range from $0.01 to $0.99 and reflect the market's probability estimate. The lower the price, the higher the potential return.

3. Earn Returns

When the event resolves, correct shares pay out $1.00 each. If you bought Yes at $0.30 and the outcome is Yes, you earn $0.70 profit per share. Incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Why Trust Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants. Because traders put real money behind their views, prices tend to reflect genuine probability estimates — often outperforming polls and expert forecasts.

Safety & Transparency

All trades settle on-chain via Solana. Your wallet is non-custodial — Pálpito never holds your funds. Market resolution uses automated oracles with manual arbitration as a fallback.